Once again your running away from the issue,The question is what effect does our industries cyanide use have on the reefs? To understand that we must first have some idea how many squirts does it take to collect the 780,000 cyanided fish? You stated that you are confident that , many fish are effected each time a collector squirts.lots of times non targeted fish are effected. Fine! Then you are also admitting that many trade fish can be collected with one squirt! So if fifty fish are within the cyanide plume, and all the fish within the plume are hobby fish .....then it only took one squirt to collect fifty of the 780,000 ! Your example of 41.9M to collect 780,000 is an average of ten fish per squirt. so its quite possible that only 78,000 squirts are all that is needed to collect our hobbies fish for the year. Thats using your numbers. 78,000 over the entire collection area of 25,000 square kilometers is quite small , THREE SQUIRTS PER KILOMETER PER YEAR! Thank you for backing up my position.PeterIMA":3losfmu9 said:Kalk, You are the one that used the 3 million fish that lived to be exported and my mortality figures to estimate the potential numbers exposed to cyanide on the reef. The first assumption is that about 30% of the fish that were collected and were brought back to the villages died. So, multiply the 3 million by 10/7 (1.43) = 4,290,000 to estimate the number that were initially collected and brought back to the villages. I also assumed that the 4,290,000 represent 10% of the fish that survived the cyanide exposure and were of interest to the trade (e.g., not all fish dosed with cyanide are collected because many are of no commercial value). So, 4.29 million multiplied by 10 represents the number that lived on the reef = 42.9 million. Assuming that 50% of the fish exposed to cyanide died then the number of fish that were dosed with cyanide becomes 42.9 million times 2 = 85.8 million. Your extrapolation using my assumptions posted several months ago was 80 million. So our extrapolations were similar, but you still underestimated the number exposed to cyanide on the reef.
Kalkbreath":m4af6img said:Once again your running away from the issue,The question is what effect does our industries cyanide use have on the reefs? To understand that we must first have some idea how many squirts does it take to collect the 780,000 cyanided fish? You stated that you are confident that , many fish are effected each time a collector squirts.lots of times non targeted fish are effected. Fine! Then you are also admitting that many trade fish can be collected with one squirt! So if fifty fish are within the cyanide plume, and all the fish within the plume are hobby fish .....then it only took one squirt to collect fifty of the 780,000 ! Your example of 41.9M to collect 780,000 is an average of ten fish per squirt. so its quite possible that only 78,000 squirts are all that is needed to collect our hobbies fish for the year. Thats using your numbers. 78,000 over the entire collection area of 25,000 square kilometers is quite small , THREE SQUIRTS PER KILOMETER PER YEAR! Thank you for backing up my position.PeterIMA":m4af6img said:Kalk, You are the one that used the 3 million fish that lived to be exported and my mortality figures to estimate the potential numbers exposed to cyanide on the reef. The first assumption is that about 30% of the fish that were collected and were brought back to the villages died. So, multiply the 3 million by 10/7 (1.43) = 4,290,000 to estimate the number that were initially collected and brought back to the villages. I also assumed that the 4,290,000 represent 10% of the fish that survived the cyanide exposure and were of interest to the trade (e.g., not all fish dosed with cyanide are collected because many are of no commercial value). So, 4.29 million multiplied by 10 represents the number that lived on the reef = 42.9 million. Assuming that 50% of the fish exposed to cyanide died then the number of fish that were dosed with cyanide becomes 42.9 million times 2 = 85.8 million. Your extrapolation using my assumptions posted several months ago was 80 million. So our extrapolations were similar, but you still underestimated the number exposed to cyanide on the reef.
IM sorry which math did you disagree with? Peters 25% or 3 million landed fish in the USA? Or Peters Multiple fish per squirt. ?.........................Actually I went to school with Lisa Kudrow at Taft High school in Woodland hills, Calif. Then College in Fla. What they did teach me , is logic and math always trump emotion and fear. .mkirda":318ebuvp said:Kalkbreath":318ebuvp said:Once again your running away from the issue,The question is what effect does our industries cyanide use have on the reefs? To understand that we must first have some idea how many squirts does it take to collect the 780,000 cyanided fish? You stated that you are confident that , many fish are effected each time a collector squirts.lots of times non targeted fish are effected. Fine! Then you are also admitting that many trade fish can be collected with one squirt! So if fifty fish are within the cyanide plume, and all the fish within the plume are hobby fish .....then it only took one squirt to collect fifty of the 780,000 ! Your example of 41.9M to collect 780,000 is an average of ten fish per squirt. so its quite possible that only 78,000 squirts are all that is needed to collect our hobbies fish for the year. Thats using your numbers. 78,000 over the entire collection area of 25,000 square kilometers is quite small , THREE SQUIRTS PER KILOMETER PER YEAR! Thank you for backing up my position.PeterIMA":318ebuvp said:Kalk, You are the one that used the 3 million fish that lived to be exported and my mortality figures to estimate the potential numbers exposed to cyanide on the reef. The first assumption is that about 30% of the fish that were collected and were brought back to the villages died. So, multiply the 3 million by 10/7 (1.43) = 4,290,000 to estimate the number that were initially collected and brought back to the villages. I also assumed that the 4,290,000 represent 10% of the fish that survived the cyanide exposure and were of interest to the trade (e.g., not all fish dosed with cyanide are collected because many are of no commercial value). So, 4.29 million multiplied by 10 represents the number that lived on the reef = 42.9 million. Assuming that 50% of the fish exposed to cyanide died then the number of fish that were dosed with cyanide becomes 42.9 million times 2 = 85.8 million. Your extrapolation using my assumptions posted several months ago was 80 million. So our extrapolations were similar, but you still underestimated the number exposed to cyanide on the reef.
You really are something, Kalk.
Before, it was a boatload of bad assumption.
Now it took a whole fleet of boats to carry those bad assumptions.
None of these numbers bear any semblance to reality, just as the 40,000 squirts per bottle you previously claimed didn't.
It is truly a shame that you cannot do simple math.
If you are indicative, the Georgian legistlature needs to tackle their problems with school funding...
mkirda":15qdm7we said:Kalkbreath":15qdm7we said:What they did teach me , is logic and math always trump emotion and fear. .
Pity you get the math wrong EVERY SINGLE TIME then...
Is Lisa Kudrow a math teacher?
Kalkbreath":19dlig3f said:Please do tell me how my math is wrong? Are you saying he is lying? There is no reason why the multiples cant sometimes be all from the same species? Can you explain why this would not be true?
vitz":dqlrpijp said:mkirda":dqlrpijp said:Kalkbreath":dqlrpijp said:What they did teach me , is logic and math always trump emotion and fear. .
Pity you get the math wrong EVERY SINGLE TIME then...
Is Lisa Kudrow a math teacher?
:lol: :lol: :lol:
what, you never heard her hit 'smelly cat, smelly cat...' ?
8O
Kalkbreath":1hd3a43w said:So you DO think the fish are collected one by one? I can pick up a braching coral head in a lagoon hold it over a bucket and twenty damsels will fall out.......why cant the same number of damsels be hiding in a coral branch if the branch is still attatched? If multiple fish cant be collected at at time then there cant be much by catch in the way of non targeted fish can there?.......... and More importantly the area of corals damaged cant be very large either........ :wink: