JeremyR":sng5nzo5 said:
Mike,
Your head has to be bloody by now.. might as well give up banging it on the wall!
:lol:
It is important to understand something here though.
I was reading a paper a while back on observation and impressions.
The author was talking about how important it is to actually have data to back up the observations.
In the paper, he described how he had been observing a reef over a period of years. Over time, he had a rather distinct impression that a certain change was happening. However, when he went back and looked at the actual data charting the change taken by himself and others, he discovered that his impression was actually wrong. The data bore that out.
The point is, I can't argue with Kalk's impression that there are more sharks than he has ever seen before in one side of the bay at Cape San Blas. But the fact that he has this impression doesn't necessarily mean that it is true either. Only someone who has access to shark population statistics for the bay over a number of years, or decades, (if they even exist!) could say for certain whether or not the population was up or down. I can say that, for the state of Florida, the people who have access to the data has already stated that the population is not higher.
Is it strange that on one hand, I am actually defending Kalk?
No, not really. His impression is his impression.
It is, however, wrong to generalize from this across an entire region.
It is also wrong to turn an impression into a fact.
Regards.
Mike Kirda